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A closer look at Japan’s newly launched ‘spy bureau,’ a signal of its growing militarist ambitions_我的网站

一 |       这是8月18日拍摄的《澳门特别行政区经济和社会发展第三个五年规划（2026-2030年）》新闻发布会现场。发（张金加摄）  澳门8月19日电 题：锚定高质量发展 为美好愿景提供坚实支撑——澳门各界解读新一份五年规划  记者齐菲、宋晨、郭雨祺  《澳门特别行政区经济和社会发展第三个五年规划（2026—2030年）》18日公布。分析人士指出，新一份规划全面准确贯彻“一国两制”方针，主动紧密对接国家“十五五”规划，统筹强、目标明、举措实、参与广，充分体现特区政府在新时代推动高质量发展的决心、信心与能力，为实现“法治澳门、活力澳门、文化澳门、幸福澳门”的美好愿景提供坚实支撑。  高水平安全护航高质量发展  新一份五年规划共10篇36章、68个专栏，约8.6万字。    

    People hold placards reading "No war" and "Stop constitutional revision, military expansion" during a rally in Tokyo, Japan on May 3, 2026.
As an old saying in both Chinese and Japanese goes, "Bad deeds travel a thousand miles." This means that wrongdoing will eventually spread far and wide, becoming known to all.
Ignoring strong opposition at home and abroad, the Japanese government has officially inaugurated the "National Intelligence Bureau." Dubbed by some Japanese media outlets and opinion leaders as a postwar institution close to the "Tokko", or Special Higher Police - which targeted critics of the Japanese government ahead of World War II (WWII) - the new bureau has been met with widespread criticism and protests ever since its establishment on July 31.
What exactly is Japan's "National Intelligence Bureau"? What is the background of its organizational structure and leadership? What impact could its deep entanglement with US intelligence agencies have on regional security? And what strategic ambitions of the Japanese authorities lie behind its creation? In this story, the Global Times takes a closer look at this newly established intelligence agency and examines the dangerous attempts by Japan's right-wing forces to break free from the postwar order and revive a militarist path.
Striking a historical nerve
On July 31, Japan held the first meeting of its new National Intelligence Council chaired by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, and launched its secretariat, the National Intelligence Bureau, reported The Mainichi on the same day.
Although the full details have not been made public, the meeting was believed to have confirmed plans to draw up the first-ever strategy to guide intelligence-gathering and analysis activities, as well as to move forward with consideration of a "anti-espionage" bill aimed at countering covert operations by foreign powers, NHK reported the same day. 
The bureau's launch date has struck a historical nerve in some Asian countries, victims of Japanese aggression during WWII. 
Hiroshi Onishi, vice president of the Japan-China Friendship Association, told the Global Times that Japan's decision to establish the body on July 31 is a date that evokes memories of the notorious Unit 731 bacterial warfare squad of imperialist Japan, and is bound to remind people in China and other Asian countries of that dark history.
The Japanese government should consider how this timing may be perceived by people in other countries, especially in China, he said. 
Under a law to establish the National Intelligence Council, passed by the Japanese Diet in May 2026, Japan is building a new intelligence system centered on its National Intelligence Bureau. 
According to a July 31 story by the Xinhua News Agency, the bureau, which integrates intelligence functions from Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Defense, the Ministry of Justice and the National Police Agency, had been described by the public as the "command center" of intelligence operations.
Why did Japan establish this bureau? Establishing this bureau enables the Japanese government to "make sound decisions based on higher-quality, timely information amid today's complex and challenging international environment," The Japan Times quoted Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara as saying on July 31. 
However, to some Chinese scholars in Japanese studies, explanations like this are little more than a cover for the current right-wing Takaichi administration's real agenda.
"Of course, the Japanese authorities need to put forward some seemingly plausible justification; otherwise, they would have no way to explain it to the public," Da Zhigang, a research fellow at the Institute of Northeast Asian Studies of the Heilongjiang Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times.
Da said that the Takaichi administration's push for the reform of the intelligence system is directly tied to Japan's military expansion, its drive to strengthen military capabilities and constitutional revision. 
"The real purpose is still institutional expansion - to make the intelligence system more compatible with, and better serve, the series of military expansion and geopolitical strategies Japan is now advancing," he noted.
Adding uncertainty
The National Intelligence Bureau largely inherits the roughly 730 personnel and functions of its predecessor, the Cabinet Intelligence and Research Office, with around 30 new posts being authorized to be added, according to The Japan Times.
The bureau reports directly to the Japanese prime minister, and has centralized intelligence functions that were previously dispersed across multiple ministries and agencies under Japan's cabinet office, which overturns Japan's postwar decentralized intelligence architecture, Da said. 
"Compared with the system of mutual checks and constraints designed under Japan's pacifist constitution after the WWII, the country's current intelligence apparatus is highly centralized," Da told the Global Times. "Constraints that were once built into the Japanese constitution, which has set forth pacifism, now seem to be gone."
If the bureau is a new engine of centralization in Japan's intelligence system, then Kazuya Hara can be called the engine's first operator. According to media reports, Hara, the bureau's first director, joined Japan's National Police Agency in 1990, and had also served at Japan's embassies in Russia and the US. In 2019, Hara became executive secretary to the then prime minister Shinzo Abe, and in 2023 he began serving as director of Japan's cabinet intelligence. 
    A visitor tours a specialized exhibition about the trial of Japanese war criminals by New China, at the Exhibition Hall of Evidences of Crime Committed by Unit 731 of the Japanese Imperial Army, which was held in Harbin, Northeast China's Heilongjiang Province, on July 1, 2026. Photos: VCG
In May, shortly after the legislation was passed, Hara reportedly made a special trip to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) headquarters. FBI Director Kash Patel said in a post on X that Japan's initiative would "greatly enhance our shared partnership," and said he looks "forward to fully supporting them and working with them on cybersecurity, counterintelligence, espionage and counterterrorism to strengthen our cooperation," Japan's Jiji Press reported on May 8.
Moreover, according to a July 13 report by The New York Times, during the process of setting up the bureau, Japan had "privately approached partners such as the United States, Australia and Germany in recent months for advice on technology, staffing and priorities." 
"Intelligence officials from the United States, Japan's main security ally, have offered input on cyberdefense systems and methods of countering industrial espionage, according to two people familiar with the conversations," the NYT report said.
A tightly bound intelligence alliance is adding multiple layers of uncertainty to the security landscape in Northeast Asia. Da said that the bureau's establishment would amplify Japan's intelligence-driven disruptive power in bilateral and multilateral geopolitical interactions in Northeast Asia, while its deep entanglement with intelligence networks beyond the region could further intensify the compound shock to the regional security order.
"For countries around Northeast Asia, the costs of social contact and other forms of interaction will rise," Da said.
The establishment and operational launch of a brand-new intelligence agency means that Japan is already making advance intelligence preparations for a potential war, Lü Yaodong, a research fellow from the Institute of Japanese Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times.
East Asian countries, as well as all peace-loving forces around the world committed to safeguarding global peace, must remain highly vigilant, Lü said.
Accelerating Japan's remilitarization agenda
China has a time-honored saying: "Those who persist in wrongdoing will bring destruction upon themselves." 
Less than two weeks after its launch, Japan's National Intelligence Bureau has already come under broad criticism. What it has triggered is not only questions about the functions of a new agency, but also deep concern over whether Japan is drifting away from its postwar path of peace and back toward militarism.
One major criticism is that the intelligence power in Japan has become overly concentrated, while checks and balances remain inadequate. The law to create the National Intelligence Council, which governs the bureau, "does not include any mechanism to oversee the activities of intelligence agencies" despite concerns, as reported in a May 29 editorial piece by The Mainichi.
For many people in Japan, another concern is that the new intelligence agency lacks institutional safeguards to protect citizens' rights. On May 27, the day Japan's Upper House passed the law, large numbers of people reportedly spontaneously gathered outside Japan's Diet, holding banners reading "Stop revising the constitution and expanding the military" and "Oppose the National Intelligence Bureau bill that will monitor citizens." 
It is completely unfeasible for Japan to set up an intelligence agency detached from corresponding restraints, said Makoto Ito, a Japanese lawyer and the director of the Japan Institute of Constitutional Law. 
If the bureau and related measures such as the proposed anti-espionage law are allowed to push forward on their own, outside a democratic oversight framework, the risks will only be magnified, Ito told the Global Times.
More concerning still, some observers pointed out that the establishment of the National Intelligence Bureau is not an isolated move, but a key link in the Takaichi administration's systematic effort to break free from the postwar order and push Japan further down a path of rearmament.
Japan is strengthening intelligence centralization through the creation of the bureau, while also accelerating the deployment of Tomahawk cruise missiles and conducting live-fire drills, said Lü. This indicates that Japan is advancing its military expansion strategy on two fronts at once: intelligence gathering and actual combat strike capability. He criticized these moves as not only a serious shock to the regional security landscape, but also an open challenge to the international order of peace.
The Takaichi administration is devoting energy to intelligence-system reform precisely when the public urgently needs relief from persistent inflation and a rising cost of living, and that these reforms directly serve Japan's military expansion, force buildup, constitutional revision and even efforts to undermine the country's Three Non-Nuclear Principles, said Da. 
"In fact, this also shows that Japan's right wing has now reached a stage where it simply no longer cares about people's livelihoods," he said.
The establishment of Japan's National Intelligence Bureau is "another negative development in Japan's domestic and international policies on security," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said on July 31, the bureau's launch date. 
"For some time, Japan has been accelerating its remilitarization agenda under the pretext of national security and external threat. Such moves have put the regional peace and stability at risk and drawn widespread concern across the international community," Mao warned. 
"Those running the Japanese government need to learn lessons from history and act prudently," she noted.
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二 | 其中，“维护国家安全和社会稳定”专篇被放在重要位置，统领4个章节。

三 | 规划提出2026—2030年澳门经济社会发展的八大目标，“总体国家安全观全面贯彻落实”亦被摆在首位。  澳门特区政府政策研究和区域发展局局长张作文表示，新一份五年规划目标明确、重点突出。

四 | 国家安全是澳门长期繁荣稳定的前提与根本保障，独立成篇、位置显著，凸显重要地位。  澳门理工大学社会经济与公共政策研究所所长鄞益奋分析指出，规划作出多维度系统部署，一方面兼顾传统与非传统安全，完善维护国家安全的法律制度和执行机制，强化新兴领域安全治理；另一方面，研究制订《全民国家安全教育总体规划（2027—2032）》，重点面向青少年开展国家安全教育，厚植爱国爱澳社会根基。  他认为，规划体现澳门深入贯彻落实总体国家安全观，以制度机制和社会教育双向发力维护国家安全的基本思路。“把安全建设全面贯穿和深入渗透进特区治理各环节，为经济适度多元、民生保障优化、澳琴一体化等筑牢安全屏障，正是规划的重要主线。”  经济适度多元发展提质增效  特区行政长官岑浩辉近日发表署名文章，解读规划核心要义与重点任务。

五 | 他表示，经济适度多元发展是保持澳门长期繁荣稳定的必由之路，是澳门特区政府必须答好的必答题。  从2016年首个五年规划至2026年第三个五年规划，“经济适度多元”始终贯穿其中。从“一五”的“推动”，到“二五”的“加快”，再到如今的“扎实推进”，动词表述的变化清晰勾勒出澳门推动经济转型从基础搭建到提速推进，再到强调提质增效的发展进程。  文章指出，特区将以四大工程项目和政府引导基金为抓手，重点推动“1+4”多元产业发展，力争在2030年实现非博彩业增加值占本地生产总值比重达60%左右。  相较“二五”规划，“三五”规划新增若干重要经济发展指标。其中，非博彩业增加值比重尤为引人关注。张作文认为，将目标设定在60%左右，意味着澳门经济适度多元发展的举措力度将进一步加大。  据介绍，2026—2030年推进经济适度多元发展的重大项目预算总投资将达到约1300亿澳门元。澳门经济学会理事长柳智毅认为，对澳门这一微型经济体而言，这笔投入可谓规模空前。  他说，规划从更好发挥政府引导基金引领作用、加大资金投入和招商引资力度、培育具竞争力的新兴产业和新的经济增长点、积极推进具体工程项目等方面着力推动，澳门经济适度多元发展有望实现新突破，取得新成效。  融入和服务国家发展大局更积极有为  今年是横琴粤澳深度合作区成立五周年。规划第五篇专篇聚焦横琴，明确要用改革的办法破解发展难题，以科技、教育为引领，深化澳琴一体化发展，全力推进横琴合作区第二阶段高水平建设。规划增设澳琴一体化专属指标板块，重点围绕产业多元发展、跨境要素流通、民生融合共享等领域设置量化目标。  澳门大学社会科学学院院长胡伟星分析，规划紧扣“澳门+横琴”新定位，围绕体制机制、软硬联通、产业协同、民生跨境融合等方面出台系统性举措，为下一步发展明确方向。  他表示，从发展思路和逻辑看，特区政府坚定推动澳琴一体化发展，从单一产业融合迈向产业、民生、人才、治理等全域一体化。“未来横琴有望升级为集澳门产业延伸、跨境宜居新城、对外开放门户于一体的一体化新城区，成为充分发挥‘一国两制’制度优势，推动区域协同的标志性实践。”  澳门的发展始终与祖国同频共振。规划立足澳门背靠祖国、联通世界的独特优势，持续强化内联外通格局。

六 |   澳门学者同盟会长叶桂平分析，澳门一方面积极参与高质量建设粤港澳大湾区，携手广州、深圳、香港等城市构建具有国际竞争力的现代产业体系，加强科技创新联动，打造优质生活圈；另一方面，积极将中葡平台功能延伸至西语国家，参与和服务共建“一带一路”，打造中西文明交流互鉴重要窗口，澳门正以更积极的姿态、更有为的举措融入和服务国家发展大局。

七 |   澳门主流媒体评论指出，规划紧扣国家发展战略、立足澳门资源禀赋、回应市民民生期盼，以系统性科学规划锚定高品质发展航向，以深耕实干破解发展瓶颈，为澳门绘就清晰蓝图，开启澳门长治久安、提质振兴的全新征程。

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